Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Brentford win the strongest outcome at 48.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
BrentfordBRE57.1 projected points
AFC BournemouthBOU51.4 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Brentford vs Bournemouth scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.1%
9.5%
8.3%
7.8%
6.8%
Brentford 1.71 · Bournemouth 1.22
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
41.0% to 54.8%
The Brentford home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
6 vs 11
Current mean projected league positions for Brentford and Bournemouth.
Matchweek 30
Saturday, 20 March 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.07 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.016 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.022 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.118 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Brentford vs Bournemouth prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth?
Brentford win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 48.0%. The draw is 25.6%.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth?
The most likely exact score is Brentford 1-1 AFC Bournemouth, with an estimated probability of 12.1%.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth?
The model gives both teams to score a 58.5% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 55.9% probability.
When is Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth?
Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth is scheduled for Saturday, 20 March 2027, time provisional.