Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Brentford win the strongest outcome at 51.5%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
BrentfordBRE56.8 projected points
AFC BournemouthBOU45.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Brentford vs Bournemouth scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.2%
9.7%
7.9%
7.6%
6.4%
Brentford 1.87 · Bournemouth 1.23
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
46.0% to 57.0%
The Brentford home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
6 vs 15
Current mean projected league positions for Brentford and Bournemouth.
Matchweek 30
Saturday, 20 March 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.07 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.016 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.031 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.19 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Brentford vs Bournemouth prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth?
Brentford win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 51.5%. The draw is 24.3%.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth?
The most likely exact score is Brentford 1-1 AFC Bournemouth, with an estimated probability of 11.2%.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth?
The model gives both teams to score a 60.6% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 59.8% probability.
When is Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth?
Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth is scheduled for Saturday, 20 March 2027, time provisional.
FREE ACCOUNT · NO CARD REQUIRED
Follow your club, not a generic feed
Create your account, then optionally save a Premier League club to a personalised dashboard with its projected finish, projected points and major season probabilities. The live forecast remains free to explore.
- Saved club dashboard
- Live probability view
- Member referral rewards