Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Aston Villa win the strongest outcome at 54.1%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Aston VillaAVL55 projected points
Tottenham HotspurTOT49.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Aston Villa vs Tottenham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
9.8%
9.5%
7.2%
6.6%
6.3%
Aston Villa 2.09 · Tottenham 1.33
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
43.9% to 62.2%
The Aston Villa home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
8 vs 14
Current mean projected league positions for Aston Villa and Tottenham.
Matchweek 38
Sunday, 30 May 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.22 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.019 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.066 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.015 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Aston Villa vs Tottenham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Aston Villa win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 54.1%. The draw is 22.5%.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The most likely exact score is Aston Villa 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur, with an estimated probability of 9.8%.
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The model gives both teams to score a 65.1% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 66.3% probability.
When is Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur is scheduled for Sunday, 30 May 2027, time provisional.