Aston Villa vs Ipswich Town prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Aston Villa win the strongest outcome at 57.2%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Aston VillaAVL55 projected points
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Aston Villa vs Ipswich scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
10.7%
9.9%
8.9%
8.1%
6.6%
Aston Villa 2.01 · Ipswich 1.11
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
48.2% to 68.0%
The Aston Villa home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
8 vs 16
Current mean projected league positions for Aston Villa and Ipswich.
Matchweek 23
Saturday, 30 January 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.57 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.032 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.173 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.12 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Aston Villa vs Ipswich prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Aston Villa vs Ipswich Town?
Aston Villa win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 57.2%. The draw is 23.0%.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Ipswich Town?
The most likely exact score is Aston Villa 1-1 Ipswich Town, with an estimated probability of 10.7%.
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Ipswich Town?
The model gives both teams to score a 59.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 60.3% probability.
When is Aston Villa vs Ipswich Town?
Aston Villa vs Ipswich Town is scheduled for Saturday, 30 January 2027, time provisional.