Aston Villa vs Hull City prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Aston Villa win the strongest outcome at 62.4%. The most likely score is 2-0, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Aston VillaAVL55 projected points
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Aston Villa vs Hull scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
10.5%
10.4%
9.9%
9.4%
7.2%
Aston Villa 2.06 · Hull 0.95
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
51.5% to 72.0%
The Aston Villa home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
8 vs 17
Current mean projected league positions for Aston Villa and Hull.
Matchweek 29
Saturday, 13 March 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.77 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.032 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.087 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.213 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Aston Villa vs Hull prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Aston Villa vs Hull City?
Aston Villa win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 62.4%. The draw is 22.0%.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Hull City?
The most likely exact score is Aston Villa 2-0 Hull City, with an estimated probability of 10.5%.
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Hull City?
The model gives both teams to score a 54.1% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 57.8% probability.
When is Aston Villa vs Hull City?
Aston Villa vs Hull City is scheduled for Saturday, 13 March 2027, time provisional.