Arsenal vs Sunderland prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Arsenal win the strongest outcome at 75.3%. The most likely score is 2-0, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
ArsenalARS73.3 projected points
SunderlandSUN37.1 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Arsenal vs Sunderland scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.8%
10.1%
9.1%
8.7%
7.7%
Arsenal 2.56 · Sunderland 0.77
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
70.6% to 78.7%
The Arsenal home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
2 vs 20
Current mean projected league positions for Arsenal and Sunderland.
Matchweek 30
Saturday, 20 March 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.82 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.062 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.129 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.022 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Arsenal vs Sunderland prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Arsenal vs Sunderland?
Arsenal win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 75.3%. The draw is 16.2%.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Sunderland?
The most likely exact score is Arsenal 2-0 Sunderland, with an estimated probability of 11.8%.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Sunderland?
The model gives both teams to score a 50.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 64.4% probability.
When is Arsenal vs Sunderland?
Arsenal vs Sunderland is scheduled for Saturday, 20 March 2027, time provisional.
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