Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Arsenal win the strongest outcome at 66.4%. The most likely score is 2-0, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
ArsenalARS73.6 projected points
Nottingham ForestNFO49.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Arsenal vs Nott'm Forest scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.7%
10.2%
9.9%
9.8%
8.3%
Arsenal 2.14 · Nott'm Forest 0.84
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
58.9% to 70.0%
The Arsenal home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
1 vs 13
Current mean projected league positions for Arsenal and Nott'm Forest.
Matchweek 36
Saturday, 15 May 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.55 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.047 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.102 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.035 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Arsenal vs Nott'm Forest prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest?
Arsenal win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 66.4%. The draw is 20.7%.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest?
The most likely exact score is Arsenal 2-0 Nottingham Forest, with an estimated probability of 11.7%.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest?
The model gives both teams to score a 50.9% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 57.1% probability.
When is Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest?
Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest is scheduled for Saturday, 15 May 2027, time provisional.