Arsenal vs Ipswich Town prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Arsenal win the strongest outcome at 73.2%. The most likely score is 2-0, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
ArsenalARS73.6 projected points
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Arsenal vs Ipswich scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.5%
9.5%
9.3%
8.6%
8.1%
Arsenal 2.48 · Ipswich 0.81
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
62.5% to 78.3%
The Arsenal home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
1 vs 16
Current mean projected league positions for Arsenal and Ipswich.
Matchweek 19
Saturday, 2 January 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.9 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.046 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.039 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.021 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Arsenal vs Ipswich prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Arsenal vs Ipswich Town?
Arsenal win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 73.2%. The draw is 17.2%.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Ipswich Town?
The most likely exact score is Arsenal 2-0 Ipswich Town, with an estimated probability of 11.5%.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Ipswich Town?
The model gives both teams to score a 51.6% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 63.8% probability.
When is Arsenal vs Ipswich Town?
Arsenal vs Ipswich Town is scheduled for Saturday, 2 January 2027, time provisional.