Arsenal vs Hull City prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Arsenal win the strongest outcome at 75.4%. The most likely score is 2-0, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
ArsenalARS73.3 projected points
Hull CityHUL40.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Arsenal vs Hull scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.0%
10.2%
9.1%
8.9%
7.7%
Arsenal 2.54 · Hull 0.76
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
67.2% to 81.2%
The Arsenal home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
2 vs 18
Current mean projected league positions for Arsenal and Hull.
Matchweek 10
Saturday, 7 November 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+1.1 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.046 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.025 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.095 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Arsenal vs Hull prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Arsenal vs Hull City?
Arsenal win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 75.4%. The draw is 16.3%.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Hull City?
The most likely exact score is Arsenal 2-0 Hull City, with an estimated probability of 12.0%.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Hull City?
The model gives both teams to score a 49.4% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 63.8% probability.
When is Arsenal vs Hull City?
Arsenal vs Hull City is scheduled for Saturday, 7 November 2026, time provisional.
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