Arsenal vs Hull City prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Arsenal win the strongest outcome at 77.0%. The most likely score is 2-0, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
ArsenalARS73.6 projected points
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Arsenal vs Hull scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.8%
10.9%
9.5%
8.8%
7.5%
Arsenal 2.55 · Hull 0.69
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
67.1% to 83.9%
The Arsenal home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
1 vs 17
Current mean projected league positions for Arsenal and Hull.
Matchweek 10
Saturday, 7 November 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+1.1 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.046 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.047 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.071 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Arsenal vs Hull prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Arsenal vs Hull City?
Arsenal win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 77.0%. The draw is 15.7%.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Hull City?
The most likely exact score is Arsenal 2-0 Hull City, with an estimated probability of 12.8%.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Hull City?
The model gives both teams to score a 46.5% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 62.7% probability.
When is Arsenal vs Hull City?
Arsenal vs Hull City is scheduled for Saturday, 7 November 2026, time provisional.