Arsenal vs Brentford prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Arsenal win the strongest outcome at 63.5%. The most likely score is 2-0, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
ArsenalARS73.6 projected points
BrentfordBRE57.1 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Arsenal vs Brentford scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
10.9%
10.3%
9.9%
9.8%
7.6%
Arsenal 2.07 · Brentford 0.91
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
56.5% to 66.3%
The Arsenal home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
1 vs 6
Current mean projected league positions for Arsenal and Brentford.
Matchweek 20
Wednesday, 6 January 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.51 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.02 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.101 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.059 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Arsenal vs Brentford prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Arsenal vs Brentford?
Arsenal win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 63.5%. The draw is 21.7%.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Brentford?
The most likely exact score is Arsenal 2-0 Brentford, with an estimated probability of 10.9%.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Brentford?
The model gives both teams to score a 52.9% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 57.2% probability.
When is Arsenal vs Brentford?
Arsenal vs Brentford is scheduled for Wednesday, 6 January 2027, time provisional.