AFC Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes AFC Bournemouth win the strongest outcome at 53.5%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
AFC BournemouthBOU51.4 projected points
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Bournemouth vs Ipswich scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.5%
9.8%
8.8%
8.6%
6.1%
Bournemouth 1.85 · Ipswich 1.12
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
43.7% to 63.4%
The Bournemouth home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
11 vs 16
Current mean projected league positions for Bournemouth and Ipswich.
Matchweek 21
Saturday, 16 January 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.46 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.011 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.162 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.037 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Bournemouth vs Ipswich prediction questions
Who is predicted to win AFC Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town?
AFC Bournemouth win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 53.5%. The draw is 24.4%.
What is the predicted score for AFC Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town?
The most likely exact score is AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Ipswich Town, with an estimated probability of 11.5%.
Will both teams score in AFC Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town?
The model gives both teams to score a 57.7% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 57.1% probability.
When is AFC Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town?
AFC Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town is scheduled for Saturday, 16 January 2027, time provisional.