AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes AFC Bournemouth win the strongest outcome at 56.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
AFC BournemouthBOU51.4 projected points
Crystal PalaceCRY40.4 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.2%
9.9%
9.1%
8.7%
6.3%
Bournemouth 1.92 · Crystal Palace 1.08
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
50.2% to 60.7%
The Bournemouth home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
11 vs 18
Current mean projected league positions for Bournemouth and Crystal Palace.
Matchweek 26
Saturday, 20 February 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.15 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.02 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.055 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.081 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace prediction questions
Who is predicted to win AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace?
AFC Bournemouth win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 56.0%. The draw is 23.7%.
What is the predicted score for AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace?
The most likely exact score is AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Crystal Palace, with an estimated probability of 11.2%.
Will both teams score in AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace?
The model gives both teams to score a 57.3% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 57.7% probability.
When is AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace?
AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace is scheduled for Saturday, 20 February 2027, time provisional.