AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Arsenal win the strongest outcome at 46.8%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
AFC BournemouthBOU51.4 projected points
ArsenalARS73.6 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Bournemouth vs Arsenal scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.6%
9.4%
9.0%
8.0%
7.0%
Bournemouth 1.17 · Arsenal 1.62
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
22.9% to 32.4%
The Bournemouth home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
11 vs 1
Current mean projected league positions for Bournemouth and Arsenal.
Matchweek 33
Saturday, 24 April 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.44 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.035 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.124 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.058 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Bournemouth vs Arsenal prediction questions
Who is predicted to win AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal?
Arsenal win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 46.8%. The draw is 26.5%.
What is the predicted score for AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal?
The most likely exact score is AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Arsenal, with an estimated probability of 12.6%.
Will both teams score in AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal?
The model gives both teams to score a 56.4% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 52.9% probability.
When is AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal?
AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal is scheduled for Saturday, 24 April 2027, time provisional.