Probabilities, not picks
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
9 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 2 competitions on Tuesday, 8 September 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is Southampton win at 55.7%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 9 listed kick-off times are provisional.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45time provisional | Blackburn Rovers vs Sheffield UnitedEFL Championship | 38.5% | 27.1% | 34.4% | 1-112.8% | 1.28-1.20 | Home38.5% | 2.60 · 3.70 · 2.90 |
| 19:45time provisional | Bristol City vs Lincoln CityEFL Championship | 38.7% | 26.9% | 34.4% | 1-112.8% | 1.30-1.21 | Home38.7% | 2.58 · 3.72 · 2.90 |
| 19:45time provisional | Cardiff City vs Stoke CityEFL Championship | 53.7% | 24.6% | 21.6% | 1-012.5% | 1.63-0.94 | Home53.7% | 1.86 · 4.06 · 4.62 |
| 19:45time provisional | Middlesbrough vs MillwallEFL Championship | 41.1% | 26.9% | 32.0% | 1-112.8% | 1.34-1.15 | Home41.1% | 2.43 · 3.71 · 3.13 |
| 19:45time provisional | Southampton vs Swansea CityEFL Championship | 55.7% | 23.3% | 20.9% | 1-011.2% | 1.77-0.99 | Home55.7% | 1.79 · 4.29 · 4.77 |
| 19:45time provisional | Watford vs Preston North EndEFL Championship | 40.3% | 26.9% | 32.8% | 1-112.8% | 1.32-1.17 | Home40.3% | 2.48 · 3.71 · 3.05 |
| 19:45time provisional | Wrexham vs BurnleyEFL Championship | 50.3% | 25.0% | 24.7% | 1-111.9% | 1.59-1.04 | Home50.3% | 1.99 · 4.00 · 4.05 |
| 20:00time provisional | Bolton Wanderers vs West Ham UnitedEFL Championship | 28.8% | 25.9% | 45.3% | 1-112.3% | 1.12-1.47 | Away45.3% | 3.47 · 3.86 · 2.21 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45time provisional | Oxford United vs ReadingEFL League One | 50.8% | 23.8% | 25.4% | 1-111.3% | 1.62-1.07 | Home50.8% | 1.97 · 4.20 · 3.93 |
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.