Probabilities, not picks
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
4 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 1 competitions on Wednesday, 9 September 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is Norwich City win at 46.1%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 4 listed kick-off times are provisional.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45time provisional | Derby County vs West Bromwich AlbionEFL Championship | 44.9% | 26.8% | 28.3% | 1-112.7% | 1.40-1.05 | Home44.9% | 2.23 · 3.73 · 3.53 |
| 19:45time provisional | Norwich City vs Birmingham CityEFL Championship | 46.1% | 25.7% | 28.2% | 1-112.2% | 1.50-1.11 | Home46.1% | 2.17 · 3.89 · 3.54 |
| 19:45time provisional | Wolverhampton Wanderers vs PortsmouthEFL Championship | 45.6% | 26.2% | 28.1% | 1-112.5% | 1.45-1.08 | Home45.6% | 2.19 · 3.81 · 3.56 |
| 20:00time provisional | Charlton Athletic vs Queens Park RangersEFL Championship | 45.3% | 26.2% | 28.5% | 1-112.5% | 1.45-1.09 | Home45.3% | 2.21 · 3.81 · 3.51 |
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.