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THE PROBABILITY DESK · WEDNESDAY, 9 SEPTEMBER 2026

Football predictions on Wednesday, 9 September 2026

4 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 1 competitions on Wednesday, 9 September 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is Norwich City win at 46.1%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.

VERIFIED FIXTURES4
COMPETITIONS1
CONFIRMED 3PM0
MODEL PATHS100,000
EVERY SUPPORTED COMPETITION

Wednesday, 9 September 2026 football predictions

Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 4 listed kick-off times are provisional.

Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
19:45time provisionalDerby County vs West Bromwich AlbionEFL Championship44.9%26.8%28.3%1-112.7%1.40-1.05Home44.9%2.23 · 3.73 · 3.53
19:45time provisionalNorwich City vs Birmingham CityEFL Championship46.1%25.7%28.2%1-112.2%1.50-1.11Home46.1%2.17 · 3.89 · 3.54
19:45time provisionalWolverhampton Wanderers vs PortsmouthEFL Championship45.6%26.2%28.1%1-112.5%1.45-1.08Home45.6%2.19 · 3.81 · 3.56
20:00time provisionalCharlton Athletic vs Queens Park RangersEFL Championship45.3%26.2%28.5%1-112.5%1.45-1.09Home45.3%2.21 · 3.81 · 3.51
DIRECT ANSWER

Probabilities, not picks

Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.

FRESHNESS

Dated evidence

Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.

SEPARATION

No odds in the model

Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.

PROVENANCE

No synthetic fixtures

Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.