Sunderland vs Fulham prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Sunderland win the strongest outcome at 39.8%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
SunderlandSUN38.8 projected points
FulhamFUL47 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Sunderland vs Fulham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.6%
8.7%
8.1%
6.5%
6.3%
Sunderland 1.62 · Fulham 1.50
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
33.2% to 43.7%
The Sunderland home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
19 vs 15
Current mean projected league positions for Sunderland and Fulham.
Matchweek 2
Sunday, 30 August 2026 at 14:00 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.21 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.003 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.03 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.018 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Sunderland vs Fulham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Sunderland vs Fulham?
Sunderland win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 39.8%. The draw is 25.4%.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Fulham?
The most likely exact score is Sunderland 1-1 Fulham, with an estimated probability of 11.6%.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Fulham?
The model gives both teams to score a 63.2% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 60.3% probability.
When is Sunderland vs Fulham?
Sunderland vs Fulham is scheduled for Sunday, 30 August 2026 at 14:00 UK time.