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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 19 · SATURDAY, 2 JANUARY 2027

Nottingham Forest vs Fulham prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Nottingham Forest win the strongest outcome at 46.6%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Nottingham ForestNFO45.8 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-112.6% exact-score probability
FulhamFUL42.6 projected points
Nott'm Forest win46.6%
Draw26.6%
Fulham win26.7%
Both teams score56.0%
Over 2.5 goals52.4%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Nott'm Forest vs Fulham scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

12.6%

#22-1

9.4%

#31-0

9.1%

#42-0

8.1%

#50-0

7.2%

EXPECTED GOALS

Nott'm Forest 1.61 · Fulham 1.17

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

40.9% to 48.6%

The Nott'm Forest home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

16 vs 17

Current mean projected league positions for Nott'm Forest and Fulham.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 19

Saturday, 2 January 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.06 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

neutral

Sustainable form

-0.012 xG-trend differential

home

Squad inputs

+0.038 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.04 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Nott'm Forest vs Fulham prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Nottingham Forest vs Fulham?

Nottingham Forest win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 46.6%. The draw is 26.6%.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Fulham?

The most likely exact score is Nottingham Forest 1-1 Fulham, with an estimated probability of 12.6%.

Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Fulham?

The model gives both teams to score a 56.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 52.4% probability.

When is Nottingham Forest vs Fulham?

Nottingham Forest vs Fulham is scheduled for Saturday, 2 January 2027, time provisional.

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