Liverpool vs Fulham prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Liverpool win the strongest outcome at 63.1%. The most likely score is 2-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
LiverpoolLIV59.9 projected points
FulhamFUL47 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Liverpool vs Fulham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
9.6%
8.9%
8.3%
7.5%
6.5%
Liverpool 2.34 · Fulham 1.15
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
53.6% to 65.5%
The Liverpool home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
4 vs 15
Current mean projected league positions for Liverpool and Fulham.
Matchweek 4
Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 15:00 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.45 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.036 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.01 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.001 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Liverpool vs Fulham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Liverpool vs Fulham?
Liverpool win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 63.1%. The draw is 20.1%.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Fulham?
The most likely exact score is Liverpool 2-1 Fulham, with an estimated probability of 9.6%.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Fulham?
The model gives both teams to score a 62.5% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 67.7% probability.
When is Liverpool vs Fulham?
Liverpool vs Fulham is scheduled for Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 15:00 UK time.