Ipswich Town vs Fulham prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Ipswich Town win the strongest outcome at 46.2%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
FulhamFUL47 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Ipswich vs Fulham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.2%
9.3%
7.2%
6.7%
6.6%
Ipswich 1.79 · Fulham 1.39
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
32.2% to 53.9%
The Ipswich home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
16 vs 15
Current mean projected league positions for Ipswich and Fulham.
Matchweek 6
Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 15:00 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.29 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.013 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.195 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.043 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Ipswich vs Fulham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Ipswich Town vs Fulham?
Ipswich Town win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 46.2%. The draw is 24.7%.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Fulham?
The most likely exact score is Ipswich Town 1-1 Fulham, with an estimated probability of 11.2%.
Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Fulham?
The model gives both teams to score a 63.4% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 61.6% probability.
When is Ipswich Town vs Fulham?
Ipswich Town vs Fulham is scheduled for Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 15:00 UK time.