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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 36 · SATURDAY, 15 MAY 2027

Hull City vs Fulham prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Hull City win the strongest outcome at 38.8%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-112.3% exact-score probability
FulhamFUL47 projected points
Hull win38.8%
Draw26.4%
Fulham win34.9%
Both teams score60.3%
Over 2.5 goals56.5%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Hull vs Fulham scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

12.3%

#22-1

8.6%

#31-2

8.1%

#41-0

7.1%

#50-1

6.6%

EXPECTED GOALS

Hull 1.52 · Fulham 1.43

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

30.5% to 45.1%

The Hull home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

17 vs 15

Current mean projected league positions for Hull and Fulham.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 36

Saturday, 15 May 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

away

Latent strength

-0.49 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

away

Sustainable form

-0.013 xG-trend differential

home

Squad inputs

+0.109 goal-rate signal

home

Recent results

+0.135 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Hull vs Fulham prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Hull City vs Fulham?

Hull City win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 38.8%. The draw is 26.4%.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Fulham?

The most likely exact score is Hull City 1-1 Fulham, with an estimated probability of 12.3%.

Will both teams score in Hull City vs Fulham?

The model gives both teams to score a 60.3% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 56.5% probability.

When is Hull City vs Fulham?

Hull City vs Fulham is scheduled for Saturday, 15 May 2027, time provisional.