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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 20 · WEDNESDAY, 6 JANUARY 2027

Fulham vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Fulham win the strongest outcome at 44.3%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

FulhamFUL47 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-110.4% exact-score probability
Tottenham HotspurTOT49.8 projected points
Fulham win44.3%
Draw24.0%
Tottenham win31.7%
Both teams score67.0%
Over 2.5 goals65.8%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Fulham vs Tottenham scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

10.4%

#22-1

8.9%

#31-2

7.4%

#42-2

6.9%

#52-0

5.8%

EXPECTED GOALS

Fulham 1.85 · Tottenham 1.54

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

37.9% to 54.4%

The Fulham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

15 vs 14

Current mean projected league positions for Fulham and Tottenham.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 20

Wednesday, 6 January 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

away

Latent strength

-0.06 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

neutral

Sustainable form

-0.001 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.088 goal-rate signal

home

Recent results

+0.063 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Fulham vs Tottenham prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Fulham win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 44.3%. The draw is 24.0%.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Tottenham Hotspur?

The most likely exact score is Fulham 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur, with an estimated probability of 10.4%.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Tottenham Hotspur?

The model gives both teams to score a 67.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 65.8% probability.

When is Fulham vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Fulham vs Tottenham Hotspur is scheduled for Wednesday, 6 January 2027, time provisional.