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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 20 · WEDNESDAY, 6 JANUARY 2027

Fulham vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Fulham win the strongest outcome at 42.9%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

FulhamFUL42.6 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-111.9% exact-score probability
Tottenham HotspurTOT46.2 projected points
Fulham win42.9%
Draw25.7%
Tottenham win31.4%
Both teams score61.4%
Over 2.5 goals58.4%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Fulham vs Tottenham scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

11.9%

#22-1

9.1%

#31-2

7.6%

#41-0

7.1%

#52-0

6.6%

EXPECTED GOALS

Fulham 1.65 · Tottenham 1.38

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

38.5% to 50.1%

The Fulham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

17 vs 14

Current mean projected league positions for Fulham and Tottenham.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 20

Wednesday, 6 January 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

away

Latent strength

-0.06 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

neutral

Sustainable form

-0.001 xG-trend differential

neutral

Squad inputs

-0.011 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.02 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Fulham vs Tottenham prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Fulham win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 42.9%. The draw is 25.7%.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Tottenham Hotspur?

The most likely exact score is Fulham 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur, with an estimated probability of 11.9%.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Tottenham Hotspur?

The model gives both teams to score a 61.4% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 58.4% probability.

When is Fulham vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Fulham vs Tottenham Hotspur is scheduled for Wednesday, 6 January 2027, time provisional.

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