Fulham vs Sunderland prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Fulham win the strongest outcome at 54.6%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
FulhamFUL42.6 projected points
SunderlandSUN37.1 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Fulham vs Sunderland scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.3%
9.9%
8.9%
8.5%
6.2%
Fulham 1.89 · Sunderland 1.12
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
50.5% to 60.1%
The Fulham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
17 vs 20
Current mean projected league positions for Fulham and Sunderland.
Matchweek 32
Saturday, 17 April 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.21 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.003 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.028 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.028 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Fulham vs Sunderland prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Sunderland?
Fulham win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 54.6%. The draw is 24.0%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Sunderland?
The most likely exact score is Fulham 1-1 Sunderland, with an estimated probability of 11.3%.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Sunderland?
The model gives both teams to score a 57.9% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 57.8% probability.
When is Fulham vs Sunderland?
Fulham vs Sunderland is scheduled for Saturday, 17 April 2027, time provisional.
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