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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 25 · WEDNESDAY, 10 FEBRUARY 2027

Fulham vs Nottingham Forest prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Fulham win the strongest outcome at 39.8%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

FulhamFUL45 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-113.1% exact-score probability
Nottingham ForestNFO50 projected points
Fulham win39.8%
Draw27.5%
Nott'm Forest win32.7%
Both teams score56.2%
Over 2.5 goals51.3%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Fulham vs Nott'm Forest scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

13.1%

#22-1

8.7%

#31-0

8.4%

#41-2

7.8%

#50-0

7.5%

EXPECTED GOALS

Fulham 1.44 · Nott'm Forest 1.29

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

36.2% to 45.4%

The Fulham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

16 vs 13

Current mean projected league positions for Fulham and Nott'm Forest.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 25

Wednesday, 10 February 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

away

Latent strength

-0.06 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

neutral

Sustainable form

+0.012 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.054 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.05 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Fulham vs Nott'm Forest prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Nottingham Forest?

Fulham win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 39.8%. The draw is 27.5%.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Nottingham Forest?

The most likely exact score is Fulham 1-1 Nottingham Forest, with an estimated probability of 13.1%.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Nottingham Forest?

The model gives both teams to score a 56.2% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 51.3% probability.

When is Fulham vs Nottingham Forest?

Fulham vs Nottingham Forest is scheduled for Wednesday, 10 February 2027, time provisional.