Fulham vs Newcastle United prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Fulham win the strongest outcome at 43.1%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
FulhamFUL42.6 projected points
Newcastle UnitedNEW50.5 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Fulham vs Newcastle scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.8%
9.1%
7.6%
7.0%
6.5%
Fulham 1.66 · Newcastle 1.39
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
39.0% to 50.9%
The Fulham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
17 vs 10
Current mean projected league positions for Fulham and Newcastle.
Matchweek 10
Saturday, 7 November 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.24 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.017 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.081 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.056 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Fulham vs Newcastle prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Newcastle United?
Fulham win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 43.1%. The draw is 25.6%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Newcastle United?
The most likely exact score is Fulham 1-1 Newcastle United, with an estimated probability of 11.8%.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Newcastle United?
The model gives both teams to score a 61.7% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 58.8% probability.
When is Fulham vs Newcastle United?
Fulham vs Newcastle United is scheduled for Saturday, 7 November 2026, time provisional.
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