Fulham vs Newcastle United prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Fulham win the strongest outcome at 40.1%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
FulhamFUL47 projected points
Newcastle UnitedNEW54.1 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Fulham vs Newcastle scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.3%
8.7%
8.0%
6.6%
6.0%
Fulham 1.65 · Newcastle 1.53
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
34.7% to 50.5%
The Fulham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
15 vs 9
Current mean projected league positions for Fulham and Newcastle.
Matchweek 10
Saturday, 7 November 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.24 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.017 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.062 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.027 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Fulham vs Newcastle prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Newcastle United?
Fulham win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 40.1%. The draw is 25.2%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Newcastle United?
The most likely exact score is Fulham 1-1 Newcastle United, with an estimated probability of 11.3%.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Newcastle United?
The model gives both teams to score a 64.1% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 61.6% probability.
When is Fulham vs Newcastle United?
Fulham vs Newcastle United is scheduled for Saturday, 7 November 2026, time provisional.