Fulham vs Manchester City prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Manchester City win the strongest outcome at 46.2%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
FulhamFUL47 projected points
Manchester CityMCI69.1 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Fulham vs Man City scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
10.5%
9.1%
7.2%
6.7%
6.2%
Fulham 1.47 · Man City 1.87
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
23.2% to 37.0%
The Fulham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
15 vs 2
Current mean projected league positions for Fulham and Man City.
Matchweek 24
Saturday, 6 February 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.57 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.019 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.151 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.101 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Fulham vs Man City prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Manchester City?
Manchester City win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 46.2%. The draw is 24.0%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Manchester City?
The most likely exact score is Fulham 1-1 Manchester City, with an estimated probability of 10.5%.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Manchester City?
The model gives both teams to score a 66.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 64.9% probability.
When is Fulham vs Manchester City?
Fulham vs Manchester City is scheduled for Saturday, 6 February 2027, time provisional.