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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 30 · SATURDAY, 20 MARCH 2027

Fulham vs Liverpool prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Liverpool win the strongest outcome at 40.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

FulhamFUL42.6 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-112.7% exact-score probability
LiverpoolLIV59.9 projected points
Fulham win33.1%
Draw26.9%
Liverpool win40.0%
Both teams score58.3%
Over 2.5 goals54.1%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Fulham vs Liverpool scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

12.7%

#21-2

8.8%

#32-1

7.9%

#40-1

7.8%

#51-0

6.9%

EXPECTED GOALS

Fulham 1.34 · Liverpool 1.50

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

31.1% to 38.6%

The Fulham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

17 vs 4

Current mean projected league positions for Fulham and Liverpool.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 30

Saturday, 20 March 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

away

Latent strength

-0.45 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

home

Sustainable form

+0.036 xG-trend differential

neutral

Squad inputs

+0.004 goal-rate signal

home

Recent results

+0.037 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Fulham vs Liverpool prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Liverpool?

Liverpool win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 40.0%. The draw is 26.9%.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Liverpool?

The most likely exact score is Fulham 1-1 Liverpool, with an estimated probability of 12.7%.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Liverpool?

The model gives both teams to score a 58.3% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 54.1% probability.

When is Fulham vs Liverpool?

Fulham vs Liverpool is scheduled for Saturday, 20 March 2027, time provisional.

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