Fulham vs Leeds United prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Fulham win the strongest outcome at 43.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
FulhamFUL47 projected points
Leeds UnitedLEE51.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Fulham vs Leeds scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.3%
9.1%
7.7%
7.5%
6.9%
Fulham 1.60 · Leeds 1.32
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
34.3% to 53.2%
The Fulham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
15 vs 10
Current mean projected league positions for Fulham and Leeds.
Matchweek 27
Saturday, 27 February 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.09 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.011 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.075 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.081 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Fulham vs Leeds prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Leeds United?
Fulham win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 43.0%. The draw is 26.2%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Leeds United?
The most likely exact score is Fulham 1-1 Leeds United, with an estimated probability of 12.3%.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Leeds United?
The model gives both teams to score a 59.4% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 55.9% probability.
When is Fulham vs Leeds United?
Fulham vs Leeds United is scheduled for Saturday, 27 February 2027, time provisional.