Fulham vs Hull City prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Fulham win the strongest outcome at 53.9%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
FulhamFUL47 projected points
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Fulham vs Hull scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.4%
9.8%
8.8%
8.5%
6.1%
Fulham 1.87 · Hull 1.13
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
45.6% to 63.2%
The Fulham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
15 vs 17
Current mean projected league positions for Fulham and Hull.
Matchweek 7
Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.49 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.013 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.109 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.135 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Fulham vs Hull prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Hull City?
Fulham win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 53.9%. The draw is 24.2%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Hull City?
The most likely exact score is Fulham 1-1 Hull City, with an estimated probability of 11.4%.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Hull City?
The model gives both teams to score a 58.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 57.6% probability.
When is Fulham vs Hull City?
Fulham vs Hull City is scheduled for Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 UK time.