Fulham vs Everton prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Fulham win the strongest outcome at 43.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
FulhamFUL47 projected points
EvertonEVE50.2 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Fulham vs Everton scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.5%
9.1%
8.0%
7.5%
7.0%
Fulham 1.58 · Everton 1.30
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
37.3% to 51.6%
The Fulham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
15 vs 12
Current mean projected league positions for Fulham and Everton.
Matchweek 34
Saturday, 1 May 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.02 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.015 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.016 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.089 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Fulham vs Everton prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Everton?
Fulham win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 43.0%. The draw is 26.5%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Everton?
The most likely exact score is Fulham 1-1 Everton, with an estimated probability of 12.5%.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Everton?
The model gives both teams to score a 58.6% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 54.8% probability.
When is Fulham vs Everton?
Fulham vs Everton is scheduled for Saturday, 1 May 2027, time provisional.