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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 34 · SATURDAY, 1 MAY 2027

Fulham vs Everton prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Fulham win the strongest outcome at 43.6%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

FulhamFUL42.6 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-113.0% exact-score probability
EvertonEVE50 projected points
Fulham win43.6%
Draw27.3%
Everton win29.1%
Both teams score55.4%
Over 2.5 goals51.0%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Fulham vs Everton scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

13.0%

#22-1

9.1%

#31-0

9.1%

#42-0

7.6%

#50-0

7.6%

EXPECTED GOALS

Fulham 1.52 · Everton 1.20

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

39.2% to 50.3%

The Fulham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

17 vs 11

Current mean projected league positions for Fulham and Everton.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 34

Saturday, 1 May 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

neutral

Latent strength

+0.02 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

home

Sustainable form

+0.015 xG-trend differential

neutral

Squad inputs

+0.009 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.073 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Fulham vs Everton prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Everton?

Fulham win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 43.6%. The draw is 27.3%.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Everton?

The most likely exact score is Fulham 1-1 Everton, with an estimated probability of 13.0%.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Everton?

The model gives both teams to score a 55.4% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 51.0% probability.

When is Fulham vs Everton?

Fulham vs Everton is scheduled for Saturday, 1 May 2027, time provisional.

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