Fulham vs Crystal Palace prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Fulham win the strongest outcome at 50.7%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
FulhamFUL47 projected points
Crystal PalaceCRY40.4 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Fulham vs Crystal Palace scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.0%
9.6%
7.5%
7.1%
6.5%
Fulham 1.89 · Crystal Palace 1.28
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
47.1% to 57.8%
The Fulham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
15 vs 18
Current mean projected league positions for Fulham and Crystal Palace.
Matchweek 3
Saturday, 5 September 2026 at 15:00 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.02 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.044 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.023 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.075 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Fulham vs Crystal Palace prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
Fulham win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 50.7%. The draw is 24.1%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
The most likely exact score is Fulham 1-1 Crystal Palace, with an estimated probability of 11.0%.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
The model gives both teams to score a 62.1% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 61.3% probability.
When is Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
Fulham vs Crystal Palace is scheduled for Saturday, 5 September 2026 at 15:00 UK time.