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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 37 · SUNDAY, 23 MAY 2027

Fulham vs Coventry City prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Fulham win the strongest outcome at 54.9%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

FulhamFUL42.6 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-111.5% exact-score probability
Coventry CityCOV38.1 projected points
Fulham win54.9%
Draw24.4%
Coventry win20.7%
Both teams score56.0%
Over 2.5 goals55.7%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Fulham vs Coventry scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

11.5%

#22-1

9.9%

#32-0

9.3%

#41-0

9.2%

#50-0

6.3%

EXPECTED GOALS

Fulham 1.85 · Coventry 1.06

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

50.9% to 62.8%

The Fulham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

17 vs 19

Current mean projected league positions for Fulham and Coventry.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 37

Sunday, 23 May 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.37 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

home

Sustainable form

+0.013 xG-trend differential

home

Squad inputs

+0.024 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.102 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Fulham vs Coventry prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Coventry City?

Fulham win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 54.9%. The draw is 24.4%.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Coventry City?

The most likely exact score is Fulham 1-1 Coventry City, with an estimated probability of 11.5%.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Coventry City?

The model gives both teams to score a 56.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 55.7% probability.

When is Fulham vs Coventry City?

Fulham vs Coventry City is scheduled for Sunday, 23 May 2027, time provisional.

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