Fulham vs Arsenal prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Arsenal win the strongest outcome at 48.4%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
FulhamFUL42.6 projected points
ArsenalARS73.3 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Fulham vs Arsenal scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.6%
9.5%
9.5%
8.5%
7.3%
Fulham 1.12 · Arsenal 1.63
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
23.5% to 30.6%
The Fulham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
17 vs 2
Current mean projected league positions for Fulham and Arsenal.
Matchweek 18
Wednesday, 30 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.61 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.059 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.1 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.006 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Fulham vs Arsenal prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Arsenal?
Arsenal win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 48.4%. The draw is 26.4%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Arsenal?
The most likely exact score is Fulham 1-1 Arsenal, with an estimated probability of 12.6%.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Arsenal?
The model gives both teams to score a 55.1% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 51.9% probability.
When is Fulham vs Arsenal?
Fulham vs Arsenal is scheduled for Wednesday, 30 December 2026, time provisional.
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