Fulham vs Arsenal prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Arsenal win the strongest outcome at 53.8%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
FulhamFUL47 projected points
ArsenalARS73.6 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Fulham vs Arsenal scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.4%
9.8%
8.7%
8.5%
6.1%
Fulham 1.13 · Arsenal 1.87
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
19.7% to 29.2%
The Fulham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
15 vs 1
Current mean projected league positions for Fulham and Arsenal.
Matchweek 18
Wednesday, 30 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.61 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.059 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.156 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.064 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Fulham vs Arsenal prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Arsenal?
Arsenal win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 53.8%. The draw is 24.3%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Arsenal?
The most likely exact score is Fulham 1-1 Arsenal, with an estimated probability of 11.4%.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Arsenal?
The model gives both teams to score a 58.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 57.5% probability.
When is Fulham vs Arsenal?
Fulham vs Arsenal is scheduled for Wednesday, 30 December 2026, time provisional.