Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Fulham win the strongest outcome at 42.7%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
FulhamFUL42.6 projected points
AFC BournemouthBOU45.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Fulham vs Bournemouth scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.1%
9.1%
7.6%
7.4%
6.7%
Fulham 1.61 · Bournemouth 1.35
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
38.5% to 48.4%
The Fulham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
17 vs 15
Current mean projected league positions for Fulham and Bournemouth.
Matchweek 12
Saturday, 28 November 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.17 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.024 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.007 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.049 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Fulham vs Bournemouth prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth?
Fulham win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 42.7%. The draw is 26.0%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth?
The most likely exact score is Fulham 1-1 AFC Bournemouth, with an estimated probability of 12.1%.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth?
The model gives both teams to score a 60.3% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 56.9% probability.
When is Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth?
Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth is scheduled for Saturday, 28 November 2026, time provisional.
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