Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Fulham win the strongest outcome at 38.7%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
FulhamFUL45 projected points
AFC BournemouthBOU51.6 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Fulham vs Bournemouth scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.4%
8.6%
8.1%
7.2%
6.7%
Fulham 1.50 · Bournemouth 1.42
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
33.6% to 45.4%
The Fulham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
16 vs 9
Current mean projected league positions for Fulham and Bournemouth.
Matchweek 12
Saturday, 28 November 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.17 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.024 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.032 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.027 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Fulham vs Bournemouth prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth?
Fulham win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 38.7%. The draw is 26.5%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth?
The most likely exact score is Fulham 1-1 AFC Bournemouth, with an estimated probability of 12.4%.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth?
The model gives both teams to score a 59.8% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 55.9% probability.
When is Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth?
Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth is scheduled for Saturday, 28 November 2026, time provisional.