Everton vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Everton win the strongest outcome at 42.8%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
EvertonEVE50.2 projected points
Brighton & Hove AlbionBHA55.2 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Everton vs Brighton scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.9%
9.1%
8.7%
7.4%
7.4%
Everton 1.51 · Brighton 1.23
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
34.0% to 46.1%
The Everton home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
12 vs 7
Current mean projected league positions for Everton and Brighton.
Matchweek 33
Saturday, 24 April 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.09 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.013 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.045 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.049 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Everton vs Brighton prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Everton vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Everton win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 42.8%. The draw is 27.2%.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
The most likely exact score is Everton 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion, with an estimated probability of 12.9%.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
The model gives both teams to score a 56.3% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 51.8% probability.
When is Everton vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Everton vs Brighton & Hove Albion is scheduled for Saturday, 24 April 2027, time provisional.