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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 29 · SATURDAY, 13 MARCH 2027

Crystal Palace vs Fulham prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Crystal Palace win the strongest outcome at 42.5%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Crystal PalaceCRY40.4 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-111.5% exact-score probability
FulhamFUL47 projected points
Crystal Palace win42.5%
Draw25.2%
Fulham win32.2%
Both teams score63.2%
Over 2.5 goals60.6%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Crystal Palace vs Fulham scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

11.5%

#22-1

9.0%

#31-2

7.7%

#41-0

6.5%

#52-2

6.5%

EXPECTED GOALS

Crystal Palace 1.69 · Fulham 1.45

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

36.8% to 45.1%

The Crystal Palace home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

18 vs 15

Current mean projected league positions for Crystal Palace and Fulham.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 29

Saturday, 13 March 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

neutral

Latent strength

+0.02 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

away

Sustainable form

-0.044 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.023 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.075 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Crystal Palace vs Fulham prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Crystal Palace vs Fulham?

Crystal Palace win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 42.5%. The draw is 25.2%.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Fulham?

The most likely exact score is Crystal Palace 1-1 Fulham, with an estimated probability of 11.5%.

Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Fulham?

The model gives both teams to score a 63.2% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 60.6% probability.

When is Crystal Palace vs Fulham?

Crystal Palace vs Fulham is scheduled for Saturday, 13 March 2027, time provisional.