Coventry City vs Fulham prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Fulham win the strongest outcome at 40.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Coventry CityCOV32.2 projected points
FulhamFUL47 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Coventry vs Fulham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.1%
8.8%
8.0%
7.0%
6.3%
Coventry 1.42 · Fulham 1.56
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
26.7% to 39.7%
The Coventry home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
20 vs 15
Current mean projected league positions for Coventry and Fulham.
Matchweek 8
Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 15:00 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.37 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.013 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.009 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.038 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Coventry vs Fulham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Coventry City vs Fulham?
Fulham win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 40.0%. The draw is 26.1%.
What is the predicted score for Coventry City vs Fulham?
The most likely exact score is Coventry City 1-1 Fulham, with an estimated probability of 12.1%.
Will both teams score in Coventry City vs Fulham?
The model gives both teams to score a 60.9% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 57.4% probability.
When is Coventry City vs Fulham?
Coventry City vs Fulham is scheduled for Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 15:00 UK time.