Coventry City vs Fulham prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Coventry City win the strongest outcome at 37.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Coventry CityCOV38.1 projected points
FulhamFUL42.6 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Coventry vs Fulham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.7%
8.4%
8.3%
7.4%
7.3%
Coventry 1.43 · Fulham 1.41
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
31.4% to 41.9%
The Coventry home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
19 vs 17
Current mean projected league positions for Coventry and Fulham.
Matchweek 8
Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 15:00 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.37 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.013 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.024 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.102 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Coventry vs Fulham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Coventry City vs Fulham?
Coventry City win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 37.0%. The draw is 26.9%.
What is the predicted score for Coventry City vs Fulham?
The most likely exact score is Coventry City 1-1 Fulham, with an estimated probability of 12.7%.
Will both teams score in Coventry City vs Fulham?
The model gives both teams to score a 58.6% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 54.2% probability.
When is Coventry City vs Fulham?
Coventry City vs Fulham is scheduled for Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 15:00 UK time.
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