Chelsea vs Fulham prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Chelsea win the strongest outcome at 62.6%. The most likely score is 2-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
ChelseaCHE64.1 projected points
FulhamFUL47 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Chelsea vs Fulham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
9.7%
9.2%
8.6%
7.4%
6.9%
Chelsea 2.28 · Fulham 1.13
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
54.0% to 68.8%
The Chelsea home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
3 vs 15
Current mean projected league positions for Chelsea and Fulham.
Matchweek 31
Saturday, 10 April 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.37 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.03 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.031 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.061 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Chelsea vs Fulham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Chelsea vs Fulham?
Chelsea win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 62.6%. The draw is 20.5%.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Fulham?
The most likely exact score is Chelsea 2-1 Fulham, with an estimated probability of 9.7%.
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Fulham?
The model gives both teams to score a 61.3% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 66.1% probability.
When is Chelsea vs Fulham?
Chelsea vs Fulham is scheduled for Saturday, 10 April 2027, time provisional.