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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 24 · SATURDAY, 6 FEBRUARY 2027

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Hull City prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Brighton & Hove Albion win the strongest outcome at 58.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Brighton & Hove AlbionBHA55.2 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-111.2% exact-score probability
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
Brighton win58.0%
Draw23.7%
Hull win18.3%
Both teams score54.3%
Over 2.5 goals55.3%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Brighton vs Hull scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

11.2%

#22-0

10.1%

#32-1

9.9%

#41-0

9.7%

#53-0

6.4%

EXPECTED GOALS

Brighton 1.91 · Hull 0.99

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

51.2% to 67.5%

The Brighton home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

7 vs 17

Current mean projected league positions for Brighton and Hull.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 24

Saturday, 6 February 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.56 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

away

Sustainable form

-0.015 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.138 goal-rate signal

neutral

Recent results

+0.003 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Brighton vs Hull prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Brighton & Hove Albion vs Hull City?

Brighton & Hove Albion win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 58.0%. The draw is 23.7%.

What is the predicted score for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Hull City?

The most likely exact score is Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Hull City, with an estimated probability of 11.2%.

Will both teams score in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Hull City?

The model gives both teams to score a 54.3% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 55.3% probability.

When is Brighton & Hove Albion vs Hull City?

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Hull City is scheduled for Saturday, 6 February 2027, time provisional.