Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Brighton & Hove Albion win the strongest outcome at 55.2%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Brighton & Hove AlbionBHA55.2 projected points
Crystal PalaceCRY40.4 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Brighton vs Crystal Palace scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.1%
9.9%
8.8%
8.3%
6.3%
Brighton 1.93 · Crystal Palace 1.12
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
51.1% to 65.3%
The Brighton home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
7 vs 18
Current mean projected league positions for Brighton and Crystal Palace.
Matchweek 7
Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.05 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.017 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.006 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.213 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Brighton vs Crystal Palace prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace?
Brighton & Hove Albion win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 55.2%. The draw is 23.7%.
What is the predicted score for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace?
The most likely exact score is Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Crystal Palace, with an estimated probability of 11.1%.
Will both teams score in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace?
The model gives both teams to score a 58.5% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 58.8% probability.
When is Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace?
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace is scheduled for Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 UK time.