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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 33 · SATURDAY, 24 APRIL 2027

Brentford vs Fulham prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Brentford win the strongest outcome at 54.5%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

BrentfordBRE56.8 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-111.0% exact-score probability
FulhamFUL42.6 projected points
Brentford win54.5%
Draw23.7%
Fulham win21.8%
Both teams score59.5%
Over 2.5 goals59.6%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Brentford vs Fulham scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

11.0%

#22-1

9.8%

#32-0

8.5%

#41-0

8.0%

#53-1

6.3%

EXPECTED GOALS

Brentford 1.93 · Fulham 1.16

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

48.1% to 58.7%

The Brentford home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

6 vs 17

Current mean projected league positions for Brentford and Fulham.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 33

Saturday, 24 April 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.1 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

away

Sustainable form

-0.04 xG-trend differential

home

Squad inputs

+0.024 goal-rate signal

home

Recent results

+0.14 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Brentford vs Fulham prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Brentford vs Fulham?

Brentford win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 54.5%. The draw is 23.7%.

What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Fulham?

The most likely exact score is Brentford 1-1 Fulham, with an estimated probability of 11.0%.

Will both teams score in Brentford vs Fulham?

The model gives both teams to score a 59.5% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 59.6% probability.

When is Brentford vs Fulham?

Brentford vs Fulham is scheduled for Saturday, 24 April 2027, time provisional.

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