Arsenal vs Fulham prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Arsenal win the strongest outcome at 73.0%. The most likely score is 2-0, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
ArsenalARS73.6 projected points
FulhamFUL47 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Arsenal vs Fulham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
10.5%
9.3%
9.0%
8.0%
7.8%
Arsenal 2.57 · Fulham 0.89
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
62.6% to 76.4%
The Arsenal home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
1 vs 15
Current mean projected league positions for Arsenal and Fulham.
Matchweek 26
Saturday, 20 February 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.61 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.059 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.156 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.064 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Arsenal vs Fulham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Arsenal vs Fulham?
Arsenal win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 73.0%. The draw is 16.8%.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Fulham?
The most likely exact score is Arsenal 2-0 Fulham, with an estimated probability of 10.5%.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Fulham?
The model gives both teams to score a 54.8% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 67.0% probability.
When is Arsenal vs Fulham?
Arsenal vs Fulham is scheduled for Saturday, 20 February 2027, time provisional.