Arsenal vs Fulham prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Arsenal win the strongest outcome at 67.6%. The most likely score is 2-0, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
ArsenalARS73.3 projected points
FulhamFUL42.6 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Arsenal vs Fulham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.1%
9.8%
9.4%
9.2%
8.3%
Arsenal 2.25 · Fulham 0.88
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
59.7% to 70.5%
The Arsenal home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
2 vs 17
Current mean projected league positions for Arsenal and Fulham.
Matchweek 26
Saturday, 20 February 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.61 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.059 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.1 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.006 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Arsenal vs Fulham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Arsenal vs Fulham?
Arsenal win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 67.6%. The draw is 19.8%.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Fulham?
The most likely exact score is Arsenal 2-0 Fulham, with an estimated probability of 11.1%.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Fulham?
The model gives both teams to score a 53.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 60.4% probability.
When is Arsenal vs Fulham?
Arsenal vs Fulham is scheduled for Saturday, 20 February 2027, time provisional.
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