AFC Bournemouth vs Fulham prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes AFC Bournemouth win the strongest outcome at 52.7%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
AFC BournemouthBOU51.6 projected points
FulhamFUL45 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Bournemouth vs Fulham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.5%
9.8%
8.5%
8.3%
6.1%
Bournemouth 1.85 · Fulham 1.15
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
45.1% to 58.6%
The Bournemouth home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
9 vs 16
Current mean projected league positions for Bournemouth and Fulham.
Matchweek 23
Saturday, 30 January 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.17 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.024 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.032 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.027 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Bournemouth vs Fulham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win AFC Bournemouth vs Fulham?
AFC Bournemouth win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 52.7%. The draw is 24.5%.
What is the predicted score for AFC Bournemouth vs Fulham?
The most likely exact score is AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Fulham, with an estimated probability of 11.5%.
Will both teams score in AFC Bournemouth vs Fulham?
The model gives both teams to score a 58.5% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 57.7% probability.
When is AFC Bournemouth vs Fulham?
AFC Bournemouth vs Fulham is scheduled for Saturday, 30 January 2027, time provisional.