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VERIFIED RESULT · CHAMPIONSHIP

West Ham's six-goal win strengthens their promotion lead

The 6-0 final score is locked into the live Championship table. Matched 100,000-path forecasts isolate how the result changes the title and automatic-promotion races.

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FINAL SCOREWest Ham 6-0 Wrexham
WEST HAM TITLE22.02% → 27.17%
PROJECTED POINTS77.5 → 78.9
AUTOMATIC PROMOTION38.86% → 45.67%
WEST HAM TITLE

22.02% → 27.17%

The six-goal win raises West Ham's title probability by 5.15 percentage points.

WEST HAM AUTOMATIC PROMOTION

38.86% → 45.67%

Their top-two probability rises by 6.81 percentage points.

WEST HAM PROJECTED POINTS

77.5 → 78.9

The result adds 1.4 mean projected points while West Ham remain first in the mean table.

WREXHAM PLAY-OFFS

48.27% → 45.62%

Wrexham's chance of finishing in the six-team play-off band falls by 2.65 percentage points.

MATCHED-PATH METHOD

Same seed, one completed result

ASSUMPTION 1The before run leaves only West Ham United v Wrexham unresolved. The other completed Championship results are identical in both forecasts.100,000 paths · seed 260911
ASSUMPTION 2The after run locks the verified 6-0 final score before simulating the remaining Championship schedule.100,000 paths · seed 260911
ASSUMPTION 3Both forecasts use seed 260911 and 100,000 paths, so the movement isolates this result rather than simulation noise.100,000 paths · seed 260911
ASSUMPTION 4Automatic promotion means finishing first or second. The published play-off band follows the confirmed six-team 2026/27 Championship format.100,000 paths · seed 260911
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