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VERIFIED RESULT · CHAMPIONSHIP

Stoke's win cuts their relegation risk

The verified 2-1 final score is locked into the Championship table. Matched 100,000-path forecasts isolate the effect on Stoke and Sheffield United.

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FINAL SCOREStoke 2-1 Sheffield United
STOKE FINISH23rd → 22nd
STOKE RELEGATION46.69% → 37.45%
STOKE POINTS49.4 → 51.3
STOKE RELEGATION

46.69% → 37.45%

The win cuts Stoke's relegation probability by 9.24 percentage points.

STOKE PROJECTED POINTS

49.4 → 51.3

Stoke add 1.9 projected points and move up one place.

SHEFFIELD UNITED PLAY-OFFS

24.21% → 19.17%

The defeat cuts Sheffield United's play-off probability by 5.04 percentage points.

SHEFFIELD UNITED POINTS

63.3 → 61.8

Sheffield United lose 1.5 projected points.

MATCHED-PATH METHOD

Same seed, one completed result

ASSUMPTION 1The before run leaves Stoke against Sheffield United unresolved. The after run locks only the verified 2-1 final score.100,000 paths · seed 260919
ASSUMPTION 2Both forecasts use seed 260919 and 100,000 paths, with every other Championship input unchanged.100,000 paths · seed 260919
ASSUMPTION 3The relegation band covers positions 22 through 24 under the published Championship format.100,000 paths · seed 260919
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