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VERIFIED RESULT · CHAMPIONSHIP

Wolves' late winner strengthens their play-off push

Raúl Jiménez's 90th-minute goal at Bramall Lane is locked into the current Championship table. Matched 100,000-path forecasts isolate how the 1-0 away win changes both clubs' projected finish and promotion outlook.

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FINAL SCORESheffield United 0-1 Wolves
WINNING GOALJiménez · 90'
WOLVES PLAY-OFFS33.47% → 39.53%
WOLVES PROJECTED POINTS65.8 → 67.6
WOLVES PLAY-OFFS

33.47% → 39.53%

The late away win raises Wolves' play-off probability by 6.06 percentage points.

WOLVES PROJECTED POINTS

65.8 → 67.6

Wolves add 1.8 mean projected points while remaining tenth in the predicted final table.

SHEFFIELD UNITED PLAY-OFFS

29.44% → 24.01%

The home defeat cuts Sheffield United's play-off probability by 5.43 percentage points.

SHEFFIELD UNITED PROJECTED POINTS

64.8 → 63.4

Sheffield United lose 1.4 mean projected points and remain twelfth in the predicted table.

MATCHED-PATH METHOD

Same seed, one completed result

ASSUMPTION 1The before run treats Sheffield United against Wolves as unresolved.100,000 paths · seed 260913
ASSUMPTION 2The after run locks the verified 0-1 final score before simulating the remaining Championship schedule.100,000 paths · seed 260913
ASSUMPTION 3Both forecasts use seed 260913 and 100,000 paths, so the movement isolates the completed result rather than simulation noise.100,000 paths · seed 260913
ASSUMPTION 4Automatic promotion means finishing first or second. The published play-off band covers positions three through eight under the confirmed six-team 2026/27 format.100,000 paths · seed 260913
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