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VERIFIED RESULT · LA LIGA

Espanyol's away win reshapes the early survival picture

The 2-0 final score is locked into the live La Liga table. Matched 100,000-path forecasts isolate how Espanyol's win at El Sadar changes both clubs' projected finish and relegation outlook.

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FINAL SCOREOsasuna 0-2 Espanyol
ESPANYOL POSITION17th → 15th
ESPANYOL RELEGATION22.72% → 15.47%
OSASUNA RELEGATION20.65% → 27.43%
ESPANYOL RELEGATION

22.72% → 15.47%

The away win cuts Espanyol's relegation probability by 7.25 percentage points.

ESPANYOL PROJECTED POINTS

43.7 → 45.5

Espanyol add 1.8 mean projected points and climb from 17th to 15th.

OSASUNA RELEGATION

20.65% → 27.43%

The home defeat raises Osasuna's relegation probability by 6.77 percentage points.

OSASUNA PROJECTED POINTS

44.3 → 42.7

Osasuna lose 1.6 mean projected points and fall from 16th to 18th.

MATCHED-PATH METHOD

Same seed, two completed results

ASSUMPTION 1The before run leaves the two completed Saturday La Liga fixtures unresolved.100,000 paths · seed 260912
ASSUMPTION 2The after run locks both verified final scores before simulating the remaining schedule.100,000 paths · seed 260912
ASSUMPTION 3Both forecasts use seed 260912 and 100,000 paths, so the movement isolates the completed results rather than simulation noise.100,000 paths · seed 260912
ASSUMPTION 4Current standings and predicted final standings remain separate throughout the update.100,000 paths · seed 260912
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