THE FOOTBALL SIMULATORSign in →
VERIFIED RESULT · SERIE A

Como win in Naples and reshape the top-four race

The 2-1 final score is locked into the current Serie A table. Matched 100,000-path forecasts isolate how the result changes both clubs' season outlooks.

FINAL SCORENapoli 1-2 Como
COMO POINTS62.2 → 64.0
COMO TOP FOUR32.88% → 42.32%
NAPOLI TITLE15.06% → 11.06%
COMO POINTS

+1.8 points

Como rise from sixth to fifth in the mean projected table.

COMO TOP FOUR

32.88% → 42.32%

The win raises their Champions League chance by 9.44 percentage points.

NAPOLI POINTS

68.9 → 67.3

Napoli fall from second to fourth in the mean projection.

NAPOLI TITLE

15.06% → 11.06%

The defeat cuts their title chance by 4.00 percentage points.

MATCHED-PATH METHOD

Same seed, one completed result

ASSUMPTION 1The before run leaves only Napoli v Como unresolved while retaining every other newly verified Serie A result.100,000 paths · seed 260831
ASSUMPTION 2The after run locks Como's verified 2-1 away win before simulating every remaining Serie A fixture.100,000 paths · seed 260831
ASSUMPTION 3Both forecasts use the same seed and 100,000 paths, with identical ratings and every other input unchanged.100,000 paths · seed 260831
ASSUMPTION 4Top four and top six refer to the published final-table forecast. The completed result also appears in the current standings.100,000 paths · seed 260831
EVIDENCE

Verified final score and live competition forecast

Como 1907 official match report · 2026-08-30Reuters match report · 2026-08-30Open the live Serie A standings and forecast