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VERIFIED RESULT · LIGUE 1

Paris FC's 3-2 win reshapes the European race

The final score is locked into the live Ligue 1 table. Lassine Sinayoko's hat-trick delivered Paris FC's second straight win, and matched 100,000-path forecasts isolate the season impact.

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FINAL SCOREMarseille 2-3 Paris FC
PARIS FC TOP SIX34.69% → 44.75%
PARIS FC POINTS51.6 → 53.5
MARSEILLE POSITION4th → 6th
PARIS FC TOP FOUR

16.34% → 23.38%

The away win raises Paris FC's top-four probability by 7.04 percentage points.

PARIS FC POINTS

51.6 → 53.5

A 1.9-point gain keeps Paris FC ninth in the mean projected table but closes the European gap.

MARSEILLE POINTS

57.0 → 55.3

The home defeat removes 1.7 mean projected points.

MARSEILLE TOP FOUR

41.68% → 32.25%

Marseille's top-four probability falls by 9.43 percentage points.

MATCHED-PATH METHOD

Same seed, one completed result

ASSUMPTION 1The before run leaves Marseille v Paris FC unresolved; the after run locks the verified 2-3 scoreline.100,000 paths · seed 260907
ASSUMPTION 2Both forecasts use seed 260907 and the same 100,000 paths, with every other Ligue 1 fixture and rating unchanged.100,000 paths · seed 260907
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