+2.2 points
Levante remain projected 19th, now on 34.5 mean points.
Levante's five-goal win shifts both ends of the table
The 5-2 score is locked into the live La Liga table. Matched 100,000-path forecasts isolate its effect on Levante's survival outlook and Real Betis' top-four race.
FINAL SCORELevante 5-2 Betis
LEVANTE POINTS32.3 → 34.5
LEVANTE RELEGATION81.03% → 72.93%
BETIS TOP FOUR53.79% → 43.89%
-8.11 pp
Their relegation risk falls by 8.11 percentage points.
-1.9 points
Betis fall from fourth to fifth in the mean table.
-9.90 pp
Their top-four probability falls to 43.89%.
MATCHED-PATH METHOD
Same seed, one newly completed result
EVIDENCE