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VERIFIED RESULT · LA LIGA

Levante's five-goal win shifts both ends of the table

The 5-2 score is locked into the live La Liga table. Matched 100,000-path forecasts isolate its effect on Levante's survival outlook and Real Betis' top-four race.

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FINAL SCORELevante 5-2 Betis
LEVANTE POINTS32.3 → 34.5
LEVANTE RELEGATION81.03% → 72.93%
BETIS TOP FOUR53.79% → 43.89%
LEVANTE POINTS

+2.2 points

Levante remain projected 19th, now on 34.5 mean points.

LEVANTE RELEGATION

-8.11 pp

Their relegation risk falls by 8.11 percentage points.

BETIS POINTS

-1.9 points

Betis fall from fourth to fifth in the mean table.

BETIS TOP FOUR

-9.90 pp

Their top-four probability falls to 43.89%.

MATCHED-PATH METHOD

Same seed, one newly completed result

ASSUMPTION 1The before run treats only Levante v Real Betis as unresolved. The after run locks the verified 5-2 scoreline.100,000 paths · seed 260830
ASSUMPTION 2Both forecasts use the same seed and 100,000 paths, with every other La Liga input unchanged.100,000 paths · seed 260830
ASSUMPTION 3Completed results determine the live standings while the matched simulation estimates final-table outcomes.100,000 paths · seed 260830
EVIDENCE

Verified final score and live competition forecast

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