FINAL SCORELevante 2-4 Barcelona
BARCELONA TITLE64.29% → 66.80%
BARCELONA POINTS84.0 → 84.6
LEVANTE RELEGATION72.90% → 74.53%
TITLE SWING+2.51 percentage points
Barcelona remain first in the predicted final table and strengthen their lead in the title forecast.
PROJECTED POINTS84.0 → 84.6
The away win adds 0.6 mean projected points across the matched paths.
LEVANTE RELEGATION72.90% → 74.53%
Levante remain 19th in the predicted final table after their home defeat.
MODEL CONTROL100,000 matched paths
The same seed isolates this completed result from simulation noise.
MATCH STORY
Barcelona survived Levante's late response
SCORERSEspart 5' · Yamal 19' · Yamal 48' (pen) · Romero 79' · Brugué 88' · Adeyemi 90+3'Official FC Barcelona match centre timeline MATCHED-PATH METHOD
Verified final, no hidden strength change
ASSUMPTION 1The before run leaves Levante UD versus FC Barcelona unresolved. The after run locks only the verified 2-4 final score.HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0 · seed 260913ASSUMPTION 2Both forecasts use seed 260913 and 100,000 paths, with squad strengths and every other sporting input unchanged.HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0 · seed 260913ASSUMPTION 3Current standings record the completed result separately from the model's predicted final standings.HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0 · seed 260913ASSUMPTION 4The Manchester derby and all later Sunday fixtures were still live or scheduled and are excluded from this comparison.HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0 · seed 260913 EVIDENCE
Official score and competition record
FREE ACCOUNT · NO CARD REQUIREDFollow your club, not a generic feed
Create your account, then optionally save a Premier League club to a personalised dashboard with its projected finish, projected points and major season probabilities. The live forecast remains free to explore.
- Saved club dashboard
- Live probability view
- Member referral rewards