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VERIFIED RESULT · BUNDESLIGA

Leipzig's six-goal win sharpens the top-four race

The verified final score enters the current standings. Matched 100,000-path forecasts isolate this result's effect on predicted final standings.

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FINAL SCORELeipzig 6-0 Frankfurt
LEIPZIG TOP FOUR51.49% → 57.39%
LEIPZIG POINTS58.0 → 59.1
FRANKFURT TOP SIX19.55% → 15.22%
LEIPZIG TOP-FOUR SWING

+5.91 percentage points

The six-goal margin adds 1.1 projected points and strengthens Leipzig's Champions League route.

LEIPZIG TITLE

1.99% → 2.70%

The title remains a longer-shot outcome despite the emphatic win.

FRANKFURT TOP SIX

19.55% → 15.22%

The heavy defeat reduces Frankfurt's European-place outlook.

FRANKFURT POINTS

45.1 → 44.2

The forecast still places Frankfurt eighth in predicted final standings.

CURRENT TABLE

Completed results and predicted final standings

RB LEIPZIGCurrent: 5th · 9 points from 5Predicted finish: 4th · 59.1 points
EINTRACHT FRANKFURTCurrent: 13th · 5 points from 5Predicted finish: 8th · 44.2 points
MATCHED-PATH METHOD

Verified final, isolated result effect

ASSUMPTION 1The before run leaves only Leipzig versus Frankfurt unresolved; the after run locks the league-verified 6-0 final.HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0 · seed 260827
ASSUMPTION 2Both runs use seed 260827 and 100,000 matched paths. Every other result and squad input is unchanged.HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0 · seed 260827
ASSUMPTION 3The change is a model estimate, not a guarantee of final standings.HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0 · seed 260827
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